R
Mike Kelly
house · PA · RepublicanThese returns are estimates, not real results. Congressional filings report trade sizes as broad dollar ranges (for example $1,001–$15,000), and those ranges get much wider for large trades. Every figure here uses the midpoint of the disclosed range, so an individual number can be off by a wide margin. Treat rankings as rough signal, never as precise performance. How this is calculated
Est. return (weighted)
-6.6%
2025-09-15 → 2026-09-15
S&P 500 same window
+15.2%
Benchmark context only
Trades in window
5 / 5
Priced / disclosed
Est. volume
$89K
Midpoint of disclosed ranges
Sample flags: small sample means fewer than 5 priced trades; limited data means fewer than half of disclosed trades were priced.
What drove the estimate
Largest single ticker accounts for 5% of the total movement — concentration, not breadth, can explain a strong number.
| Ticker | Trades | Est. volume | Weight | Avg. est. return | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMCSA | 1 | $8K | 9% | +3.9% | +0.35% |
| PEP | 1 | $33K | 37% | -0.5% | -0.18% |
| ABT | 1 | $8K | 9% | -2.4% | -0.22% |
| DIS | 1 | $8K | 9% | -11.2% | -1.00% |
| BMY | 1 | $33K | 37% | -15.2% | -5.57% |
Trade history
Most recent 300 disclosed transactions, all timeframes.
| Traded | Ticker | Asset | Type | Disclosed range | Est. midpoint | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | ABT | Abbott Laboratories Common Stock | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | PEP | Pepsico, Inc. | sale | $15,001 - $50,000 | $33K | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | DIS | Walt Disney Company | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 12, 2026 |
| May 7, 2026 | BMY | Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Common Stock F S: New S O: Victoria Kelly Trust ICA | sale | $15,001 - $50,000 | $33K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| May 7, 2026 | CMCSA | Comcast Corporation - Class A Common Stock | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Jun 20, 2025 | X | United States Steel Corporation Common Stock | sale | $15,001 - $50,000 | $33K | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Nov 8, 2024 | INTC | Intel Corporation - Common Stock | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Nov 8, 2024 | UNP | Union Pacific Corporation Common Stock | sale | $15,001 - $50,000 | $33K | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | CVX | Chevron Corporation Common Stock | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | May 15, 2024 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | UNH | UnitedHealth Group Incorporated Common Stock | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | May 15, 2024 |
| Apr 11, 2024 | EW | Edwards Lifesciences Corporation Common Stock | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | May 15, 2024 |