R
Michael Patrick Guest
house · MS · RepublicanThese returns are estimates, not real results. Congressional filings report trade sizes as broad dollar ranges (for example $1,001–$15,000), and those ranges get much wider for large trades. Every figure here uses the midpoint of the disclosed range, so an individual number can be off by a wide margin. Treat rankings as rough signal, never as precise performance. How this is calculated
Est. return (weighted)
-20.5%
2025-09-14 → 2026-09-14
S&P 500 same window
+16.3%
Benchmark context only
Trades in window
5 / 7
Priced / disclosed
Est. volume
$40K
Midpoint of disclosed ranges
Sample flags: small sample means fewer than 5 priced trades; limited data means fewer than half of disclosed trades were priced.
What drove the estimate
Largest single ticker accounts for 14% of the total movement — concentration, not breadth, can explain a strong number.
| Ticker | Trades | Est. volume | Weight | Avg. est. return | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPWR | 1 | $8K | 20% | +20.3% | +4.06% |
| DT | 1 | $8K | 20% | -20.8% | -4.16% |
| ELF | 1 | $8K | 20% | -23.0% | -4.61% |
| ABNB | 1 | $8K | 20% | -28.9% | -5.78% |
| CVX | 1 | $8K | 20% | -49.9% | -9.99% |
Trade history
Most recent 300 disclosed transactions, all timeframes.
| Traded | Ticker | Asset | Type | Disclosed range | Est. midpoint | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2026 | XOM | ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation Common Stock | exchange | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | DT | Dynatrace, Inc. Common Stock | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | OTCM | OTC Markets Group Inc. Common Stock Class A | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Dec 16, 2025 | ELF | e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. Common Stock | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Dec 16, 2025 | ABNB | Airbnb, Inc. - Class A Common Stock | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Dec 16, 2025 | CVX | Chevron Corporation Common Stock | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. - Common Stock F S: New S O: TR - D1 | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Nov 8, 2024 | MNDY | monday.com Ltd. - Ordinary Shares | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock F S: New S O: CP - INV | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Mar 5, 2024 |
| Nov 13, 2023 | EVVTY | EVOLUTION AB UNSP/ADR | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Dec 7, 2023 |
| Nov 13, 2023 | UBER | Uber Technologies, Inc. | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Dec 7, 2023 |
| Oct 27, 2023 | INSW | International Seaways, Inc. | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Nov 3, 2023 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | VLO | Valero Energy Corporation | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | CVX | Chevron Corporation | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | ABNB | Airbnb, Inc. - Class A | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | AMZN | Amazon.com, Inc. | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | ELF | e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | GD | General Dynamics Corporation | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | JPM | JP Morgan Chase & Co. | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | LOW | Lowe's Companies, Inc. | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | MDT | Medtronic plc. Ordinary Shares | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | NEE | NextEra Energy, Inc. | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | ORCL | Oracle Corporation | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | SWX | Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. Common Stock | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | TSCO | Tractor Supply Company | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 1, 2023 | WBD | Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - Series A | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 7, 2023 |
| Aug 1, 2023 | T | AT&T Inc. | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Aug 4, 2023 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | KMI | Kinder Morgan, Inc. | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 | $8K | Feb 7, 2023 |